Thursday, 5 May 2016

European markets experienced growth slowdown in March taking the year to date growth to +8.1%

  • European markets experienced growth slowdown in March taking the year to date growth to +8.1%
  • SUVs continued to be the main driver, posting registrations growth of 22% in March and 25% in Q1
  • The Volkswagen Golf topped the model ranking, though recorded net market share loss
  • Strong quarterly growth for the Peugeot 208, Opel/Vauxhall Astra and Fiat Panda
  • The Hyundai Tucson and Renault Kadjar were the biggest market share winners 
March 2016 was another positive month for European new car registrations, ending a strong Q1 which saw sales of 3.93 million units, up by 8.1% over the first three months of 2015. Although volumes grew at a slower rate (+5.6%) than recorded in February 2016 (+13.8%), positive results in 23 of the 29 markets analysed meant growth continued. 

YTD figures showed gains in 26 markets, with 16 of them posting double-digit growth. The March SAAR came in at 14.98 million units.



 Grateful thanks goes to Jato Dynamics for the information included within this report. 

The SUV segment was the biggest growth driver, with its registrations counting for 25% of sales in March Q1 2016, an improvement on the 21.7% share this segment registered in March 2015 and during the first quarter of last year. B-Segment (subcompact cars) and MPVs suffered most, posting the highest market share loss.
Volkswagen was the best-selling brand in March and across 2016 so far, leading the rankings in Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Latvia, Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia and Switzerland during the first quarter. However, it was also the brand to post the highest market share drop, with its March share reaching its lowest since September 2015 at 10.29% (vs. 11.10% in March 2015), and 11.02% for Q1 (vs. 11.97% in Q1 2015). In contrast, the biggest market share winners during the first three months of the year were BMW, Renault and Fiat, with the last two benefiting from strong SUV demand growth.
“Overall, we have seen a trend of positive growth so far this year. Consumers are consistently responding well to the brands’ latest launches, despite the problems faced by Europe’s largest car maker” commented Felipe Munoz, Global Automotive Analyst at JATO Dynamics.
With almost 56,000 units sold in March, the Volkswagen Golf topped the ranking by models, though its market share dropped from 3.39% in March 2015 to 3.21% last month. The European best-seller posted a 0% change in March, a more positive result than the falls in demand experienced by other leaders such as the Ford Fiesta (-11%) and the Opel/Vauxhall Corsa (-11%). These two subcompacts both experienced challenging times in the UK and Germany, where their registrations posted double-digit falls. This was, however, not unusual - of the top ten models, only three posted positive changes: Peugeot 208 (+4%), Opel/Vauxhall Astra (+18%) and Fiat 500 (+12%), which re-entered the top 10 thanks to the usual sales peak coming from the UK.
Year-to-date data revealed that registrations dipped for four of the top 5 best-selling models, with the Golf experiencing a 2% drop from Q1 2015, to 130,400 units. Similarly, the Ford Fiesta’s volumes dropped by 4%, the Renault Clio 3%, and the Opel/Vauxhall Corsa 6%. The Volkswagen Polo was the only model in the top 5 with a volume rise (+3%). All of these subcompacts were outpaced by the Peugeot 208, at sixth place, with registrations up by 13%, gaining 0.08 percentage points of share. Nissan’s Qashqai placed 7th, maintaining its position as the best-selling SUV in Europe with 66,200 units, though it only saw a 1% rise in volumes compared to the first quarter of 2015. This loss of market share was due to tougher competition. These models were followed by the new Opel/Vauxhall Astra, which jumped from 16th place in Q1 2015 to 8th place this quarter, posting a 30% volume increase, thanks mostly to strong growth in the German market (+46%), which offset the loss seen in the UK (-2%).
Seven of the ten biggest market share winners were SUVs, with the new Hyundai Tucson controlling almost 1% of the market, following strong demand in the UK, Germany, Italy and Ireland. The Tucson was the third best-selling compact SUV, outselling other important players such as the Volkswagen Tiguan and Ford Kuga. The Hyundai was followed by its rival from Renault – the Kadjar – with 0.84% market share, and France counting for 30% of its European volume. The Suzuki Vitara, Fiat 500X, Mecedes GLC, Mazda CX-3 and BMW X1 were the other SUVs to gain more market share, along with the Opel/Vauxhall Karl/Viva and Astra, and the Skoda Superb.
“SUVs continue to post strong growth at the expense of the traditional segments. The first quarter results reveal a clear trend of European consumers shifting their interest from subcompact and compact cars, and from MPVs to small and compact SUVs”, concluded Munoz.
Sales by Market/Make/Model
CountryMar-16Mar-15% Change2016-Q12015-Q1% Change Q1
Austria      31,941      31,086  3%      78,455      75,1544%
Belgium      55,637      55,251  1%    150,456    147,0872%
Croatia        4,013        3,400  18%        8,732        7,96110%
Cyprus           910           695  31%        2,567        2,08323%
Czech Rep.      22,799      21,156  8%      59,598      53,27612%
Denmark      19,188      20,046  -4%      52,226      49,7915%
Estonia        2,085        1,993  5%        5,544        4,92413%
Finland      11,627      11,089  5%      33,061      29,33813%
France    211,218    196,524  7%    516,284    477,2348%
Germany    322,913    323,039  0%    791,424    757,6304%
Greece        6,305        6,523  -3%      15,299      17,258-11%
Hungary        7,506        6,315  19%      19,729      17,17015%
Ireland      21,597      18,933  14%      82,947      64,51929%
Italy    192,156    163,515  18%    523,556    433,18621%
Latvia        1,548        1,233  26%        3,884        3,21021%
Lithuania        1,625        1,271  28%        4,593        3,76122%
Luxembourg        5,040        4,868  4%      12,965      11,8569%
Netherlands      29,742      28,845  3%      98,670    110,701-11%
Norway      14,066      14,337  -2%      37,399      35,6535%
Poland      39,219      33,599  17%    104,671      91,66514%
Portugal      26,466      20,0923  2%      58,424      46,24326%
Romania        6,572        5,339 23%      17,471      14,43321%
Serbia        2,429        1,814  34%        5,008        3,87729%
Slovakia        7,834        6,558  19%      19,953      16,34022%
Slovenia        6,106        5,958  2%      16,691      15,6477%
Spain    112,817    113,838 -1%    288,776    268,1878%
Sweden      34,712      31,590  10%      83,229      75,73310%
Switzerland      28,627      31,410  -9%      71,177      72,372-2%
UK    518,707    492,77  45%    771,780    734,5885%
TOTAL 1,745,405 1,653,091     6% 3,934,569 3,640,8778%
MakeMar-16Mar-15% Change2016-Q12015-Q1% Change Q1
Volkswagen    179,618    183,516  -2%    433,620    435,894-1%
Ford    137,672    138,032  0%    288,888    271,9496%
Opel/Vauxhall    125,974    118,444  6%    268,072    241,64511%
Renault    118,871    107,183  11%    263,867    242,9449%
Peugeot      98,268      96,370  2%    235,213    222,4146%
Audi      94,875      87,810  8%    215,422    192,12112%
BMW      94,819      82,101  15%    205,378    182,17613%
Mercedes      90,704      83,275  9%    202,808    180,82612%
Fiat      83,743      74,004  13%    196,920    169,54316%
Nissan      78,791      81,756  -4%    161,220    165,402-3%
ModelMar-16Mar-15% Change2016-Q12015-Q1% Change Q1
Volkswagen Golf      55,977      56,0700%    130,367    132,850-2%
Ford Fiesta      42,432      47,769-11%      84,150      88,077-4%
Opel/Vauxhall Corsa      36,724      41,119-11%      74,049      78,923-6%
Renault Clio      34,736      36,668-5%      77,762      80,227-3%
Volkswagen Polo      33,472      33,5220%      81,054      78,8533%
Nissan Qashqai      31,146      31,828-2%      66,238      65,6011%
Ford Focus      30,849      32,587-5%      60,348      60,996-1%
Peugeot 208      28,655      27,5454%      68,900      60,91413%
Opel/Vauxhall Astra      27,886      23,61918%      61,478      47,15930%
Fiat 500      25,794      23,12212%      52,885      50,3325%

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